Category: Prediction Market Basics
This section explains prediction market fundamentals in plain language. Start here if you want to understand how prices relate to probabilities and what beginners should know before going deeper.Featured guide: How Prediction Markets Work and Help You Read Uncertain Events Better is the clearest first read in this section.Return to Guides for the broader beginner path.Continue to Platform Reviews once the foundations feel clear.Browse all Articles if you want the full current library.
Latest articles
Learn the mechanics before comparing platforms
A better starting point is understanding how prediction markets work in practice. Once the basics are clear, platform differences are easier to evaluate.
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Deadline Repricing Case Study: Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%
A beginner-friendly explainer on why tight-deadline prediction markets can reprice violently as live Yes-paths collapse.
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Deadline Repricing Case Study: Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%
A beginner-friendly explainer on why tight-deadline prediction markets can reprice violently as live Yes-paths collapse.
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Deadline Repricing Case Study: Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026
A beginner-friendly explainer on why tight-deadline prediction markets can reprice violently as live Yes-paths collapse.
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Deadline Repricing Case Study: Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026
A beginner-friendly explainer on why tight-deadline prediction markets can reprice violently as live Yes-paths collapse.
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Deadline Repricing Case Study: Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31
A beginner-friendly explainer on why tight-deadline prediction markets can reprice violently as live Yes-paths collapse.
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Deadline Repricing Case Study: Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by…
A beginner-friendly explainer on why tight-deadline prediction markets can reprice violently as live Yes-paths collapse.